Written byMarch 17 at 4:32 pm EDT and updated on March 17 at 4:33 pm EDT
Highlighted video from Scott Steehn
The Saint Louis Billikens will go on St. Bonaventure Bonnies in the Atlantic 10 Championship game in the Barclays Center on Sunday afternoon for a chance to play in the NCAA tournament.
None of these teams will find their way into an automatic bid for the big dance, so this will be all marbles. Saint Louis lost to St. Bonaventure in their last regular season game 66-57 on March 9th. Can Billikens get their revenge and beat their ticket to the NCAA tournament with a victory over Bonnies on Selection Sunday?
Billikens continues to the A10 tournament final
Saint Louis won three straight games against tough league opponents to make it to the championship, defeat Richmond and Dayton before taking Davidson 67-44 on Saturday night. Billiards hit their defensive intensity in the second half and held the Wildcats at only 15 points over the last 20 minutes to run away in a blowout victory. Javon Bess scored a team high of 24 points, while Tramaine Isabell added 19 points and eight aids to help Saint Louis keep their season alive.
Javon Bess releases the deep ball when the time goes down. pic.twitter.com/uGb8aqKkey
– CBS Sports Network (@CBSSportsNet) March 16, 2019
Travis Ford's squad enters the A10 Tournament Final, numbered 105 in the latest KenPom rankings after gathering a three-win line at the Barclays Center. The ticket price has scored 102.8 points per. 100 possessions for the season (205 in NCAA) and 100.8 points per season 100 possessions during league play (8th in A10). They play an effective goal goal of only 46.3 percent (12 in A10) and they also turned the ball over 19.0 percent of their offensive property against A10 opponents (10 in A10). The dealership holds the top offensive rebound rate in the 37.7 percent conference and the best free throw rate in the A10 of 39.7 percent, which has helped them stay competitive even when their shots do not fall. While Saint Louis has shot only 29.1 percent from the 3-point range to the A10 team so far this year (13 in the A10), they have started warming up from the bow and hit 45.1 percent of their 3-point Try their past two competitions.
On defense, Saint Louis has surrendered 96.6 points per day. 100 properties for the year (48th in A10) and 99.1 points per year. 100 possessions against A10 opponents (5th in A10).
Bonnies hopes to make the Big Dance for the second straight year
St. Bonaventure had an easier way to the championship final than expected after Rhode Island disturbed the top-seeded VCU in the quarter-finals round. The Bonnies beat the Rams 68-51 on Saturday and scored them 41 to 22 in the second half to overcome a 15-point first half deficit. Kyle Lofton scored 23 points to lead all scorers, while Dominick Welch and LaDarien Griffin added 13 pieces to help Bonnie take control of the game.
LADARIA GRIFFIN ARE YOU KIDDING ME?!?!?! pic.twitter.com/BoHv35DJ7Q
– A10 Talk (@ A10Talk) February 28, 2019
Mark Schmidt's team enters Sunday's match 117 slots with No 117 in the latest KenPom locations as they try to make their NCAA Tournament dreams come true. St. Bonaventure has scored 102.2 points per day. 100 possessions for the season (213 in NCAA) and 101.1 points per season. 100 possessions under league games (7th in A10). The Bonnies play in one of the slowest steps across the country, but they appreciate their belongings and take care of the basketball at a high level. They have turned the ball over to only 17.5 percent of their offensive holdings in conference games (5th in A10), but poor 3-point shooting has kept them on the offensive. The Bonnies have shot only 30.8 percent from deep against league opponents (11 in A10) while coming to the free throw line with only 27.0 percent (12 in A10).
On the defense, St. Bonaventure given up 97.0 points per 100 items, and they have been even better in league games that hold A10 teams for only 94.4 points per game. 100 possessions for the year (2nd in A10). They have held resistance teams of only 45.0 percent shot from the inside of the bow (2nd in the A10) while sporting the top block in the conference, swimming away quite a lot of their opponent's shot attempts.
- Bonnies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs a team with a winning straight up record.
- Bonnies are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games.
- Bonnier is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 against the Atlantic 10.
- Billiards are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Billiards are 1-6 ATS in the third game in a 3-in-5-day situation.
- Billiards are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after having allowed less than 50 points in their previous games.
Bottom line What to bet on this game.
Full-Side Side Bet
Billikens has fought in this series and covers the spread only once in the last six meetings compared to Bonnierne. St. Bonaventure wanted to be goodbye to the quarterfinals so they should be a little more well-off than Billikens, who will play their fourth game for four days. The Bonnierne also have experience from last year's team that went to the second round of the NCAA tournament, so I take my chances with those who cover the spread and come across their ticket to the Big Dance Sunday afternoon.
forecast: Select: Bonaventure Bonnies -1
Full game total Select
Fatigue can be a factor for both teams in this tournament final. They have gone below the expected total in each of their last five meetings. This is probably the safest of the two choices, as both of these teams are dependent on stopping at the defensive end to stay in play. Take this matchup to go below the expected total at the Barclays Center on Saturday.
forecast: Below 119.5