Thursday , November 26 2020

St. Louis vs St. Bonaventure Prediction, Preview and Odds



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March 17

Written by
Nick Raffoul
March 17 at 4:32 pm EDT and updated on March 17 at 4:33 pm EDT

Highlighted video from Scott Steehn

The Saint Louis Billikens will go on St. Bonaventure Bonnies in the Atlantic 10 Championship game in the Barclays Center on Sunday afternoon for a chance to play in the NCAA tournament.

None of these teams will find their way into an automatic bid for the big dance, so this will be all marbles. Saint Louis lost to St. Bonaventure in their last regular season game 66-57 on March 9th. Can Billikens get their revenge and beat their ticket to the NCAA tournament with a victory over Bonnies on Selection Sunday?

Billikens continues to the A10 tournament final

Saint Louis won three straight games against tough league opponents to make it to the championship, defeat Richmond and Dayton before taking Davidson 67-44 on Saturday night. Billiards hit their defensive intensity in the second half and held the Wildcats at only 15 points over the last 20 minutes to run away in a blowout victory. Javon Bess scored a team high of 24 points, while Tramaine Isabell added 19 points and eight aids to help Saint Louis keep their season alive.

Travis Ford's squad enters the A10 Tournament Final, numbered 105 in the latest KenPom rankings after gathering a three-win line at the Barclays Center. The ticket price has scored 102.8 points per. 100 possessions for the season (205 in NCAA) and 100.8 points per season 100 possessions during league play (8th in A10). They play an effective goal goal of only 46.3 percent (12 in A10) and they also turned the ball over 19.0 percent of their offensive property against A10 opponents (10 in A10). The dealership holds the top offensive rebound rate in the 37.7 percent conference and the best free throw rate in the A10 of 39.7 percent, which has helped them stay competitive even when their shots do not fall. While Saint Louis has shot only 29.1 percent from the 3-point range to the A10 team so far this year (13 in the A10), they have started warming up from the bow and hit 45.1 percent of their 3-point Try their past two competitions.

On defense, Saint Louis has surrendered 96.6 points per day. 100 properties for the year (48th in A10) and 99.1 points per year. 100 possessions against A10 opponents (5th in A10).

Bonnies hopes to make the Big Dance for the second straight year

St. Bonaventure had an easier way to the championship final than expected after Rhode Island disturbed the top-seeded VCU in the quarter-finals round. The Bonnies beat the Rams 68-51 on Saturday and scored them 41 to 22 in the second half to overcome a 15-point first half deficit. Kyle Lofton scored 23 points to lead all scorers, while Dominick Welch and LaDarien Griffin added 13 pieces to help Bonnie take control of the game.

Mark Schmidt's team enters Sunday's match 117 slots with No 117 in the latest KenPom locations as they try to make their NCAA Tournament dreams come true. St. Bonaventure has scored 102.2 points per day. 100 possessions for the season (213 in NCAA) and 101.1 points per season. 100 possessions under league games (7th in A10). The Bonnies play in one of the slowest steps across the country, but they appreciate their belongings and take care of the basketball at a high level. They have turned the ball over to only 17.5 percent of their offensive holdings in conference games (5th in A10), but poor 3-point shooting has kept them on the offensive. The Bonnies have shot only 30.8 percent from deep against league opponents (11 in A10) while coming to the free throw line with only 27.0 percent (12 in A10).

On the defense, St. Bonaventure given up 97.0 points per 100 items, and they have been even better in league games that hold A10 teams for only 94.4 points per game. 100 possessions for the year (2nd in A10). They have held resistance teams of only 45.0 percent shot from the inside of the bow (2nd in the A10) while sporting the top block in the conference, swimming away quite a lot of their opponent's shot attempts.

Bottom line What to bet on this game.

Full-Side Side Bet

Evaluation:

Billikens has fought in this series and covers the spread only once in the last six meetings compared to Bonnierne. St. Bonaventure wanted to be goodbye to the quarterfinals so they should be a little more well-off than Billikens, who will play their fourth game for four days. The Bonnierne also have experience from last year's team that went to the second round of the NCAA tournament, so I take my chances with those who cover the spread and come across their ticket to the Big Dance Sunday afternoon.

forecast: Select: Bonaventure Bonnies -1

Full game total Select

Evaluation:

Fatigue can be a factor for both teams in this tournament final. They have gone below the expected total in each of their last five meetings. This is probably the safest of the two choices, as both of these teams are dependent on stopping at the defensive end to stay in play. Take this matchup to go below the expected total at the Barclays Center on Saturday.

forecast: Below 119.5

Nick Raffoul

Shortly after graduating with honors in business economics, Nick turned his attention from traditional stocks and bonds to invest in sports team performance. He uses a combination of sophisticated statistics and historical data to create sports investment models to identify value and generate consistent profits.


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